Q. Europa League Second Round Final
Global 4-1
Ararat-Armenia vs Lincoln Red Imps analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.6%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
8.6%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.1%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
3.1%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.1%
50.3%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
5.3%
3-4
1.7%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
3%
3-5
0.8%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
14.9%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
1.4%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
4.3%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ararat-Armenia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 2019 |
AIK
3 - 1
AVA
66%
20%
14%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2019 |
AVA
2 - 1
AIK
37%
25%
39%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | +1 |
| 03 Jul. 2019 |
GOM
0 - 3
AVA
25%
23%
52%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2019 |
BAN
0 - 1
AVA
46%
27%
27%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2019 |
AVA
2 - 0
NOA
68%
20%
13%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Lincoln Red Imps
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul. 2019 |
HUL
2 - 1
LRI
19%
20%
62%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2019 |
GAZ
2 - 0
LRI
23%
22%
55%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2019 |
FER
1 - 0
LRI
43%
24%
34%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2019 |
MON
2 - 0
LRI
21%
19%
61%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2019 |
LRI
2 - 0
CEU
44%
22%
34%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | +1 |