Ararat-Armenia vs Noah analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.1%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
23.3%
16.6%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
+48%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
76
1º
9º
3º
32
8º
10º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
82 | 85 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
80 | 80 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
76 | 76 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
66 | 66 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
32 | 32 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 22 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ararat-Armenia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2023 |
VAN
1 - 2
AVA
27%
28%
45%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
AVA
1 - 0
SHI
53%
25%
23%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
ALA
0 - 0
AVA
39%
29%
33%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2023 |
ARA
1 - 3
AVA
33%
28%
39%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
AVA
0 - 3
FCR
35%
25%
40%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Noah
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
NOA
2 - 1
ARA
45%
27%
29%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
PYU
2 - 0
NOA
55%
25%
20%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2023 |
NOA
0 - 2
BAN
32%
28%
40%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2023 |
BKM
0 - 1
NOA
31%
26%
43%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2022 |
SHI
2 - 0
NOA
43%
27%
30%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | -1 |