Q. Europa League Playoffs Final
Global 3-3
Ararat-Armenia vs F91 Dudelange analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
3%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.8%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
8%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
2.9%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.2%
35.7%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ararat-Armenia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2019 |
NOA
1 - 2
AVA
26%
28%
46%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2019 |
SAB
0 - 2
AVA
57%
20%
23%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2019 |
AVA
3 - 1
GAN
63%
23%
15%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2019 |
AVA
1 - 2
SAB
52%
21%
27%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2019 |
LRI
1 - 2
AVA
70%
16%
14%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
F91 Dudelange
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2019 |
F91
1 - 3
JEU
77%
15%
9%
|
80 | 64 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2019 |
KAL
0 - 1
F91
39%
23%
38%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2019 |
F91
3 - 1
KAL
53%
22%
24%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 2019 |
F91
3 - 1
BBM
83%
12%
6%
|
79 | 59 | 20 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2019 |
F91
1 - 1
SHK
52%
22%
26%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | -1 |