Ararat-Armenia vs Crvena Zvezda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.6%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.3%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.8%
22%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
60.4%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.6%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
10.4%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ararat-Armenia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2020 |
AVA
1 - 0
CEL
55%
23%
22%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2020 |
AVA
4 - 3
FOL
50%
23%
27%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2020 |
AVA
1 - 2
FCL
67%
21%
12%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2020 |
AVA
0 - 1
OMO
52%
25%
23%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2020 |
ALA
0 - 0
AVA
30%
25%
45%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Crvena Zvezda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
MLA
0 - 4
CRV
13%
19%
68%
|
89 | 75 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2020 |
CRV
6 - 0
VOZ
84%
11%
5%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2020 |
OMO
1 - 1
CRV
19%
22%
59%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2020 |
ČUK
1 - 3
CRV
20%
22%
58%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2020 |
CRV
5 - 0
TSC
75%
15%
9%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |