Ararat-Armenia vs Celje analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.9%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.9%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
23%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
22.1%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ararat-Armenia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2020 |
AVA
4 - 3
FOL
50%
23%
27%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2020 |
AVA
1 - 2
FCL
67%
21%
12%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2020 |
AVA
0 - 1
OMO
52%
25%
23%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2020 |
ALA
0 - 0
AVA
30%
25%
45%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2020 |
NOA
2 - 1
AVA
29%
23%
48%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Celje
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
MAR
2 - 2
CEL
61%
22%
18%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
CEL
1 - 2
DOM
48%
24%
28%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2020 |
ALU
0 - 0
CEL
25%
26%
49%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2020 |
CEL
1 - 2
MFK
22%
23%
55%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2020 |
CEL
0 - 2
NSM
47%
25%
28%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | -1 |