Ararat-Armenia vs BKMA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.1%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
14%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.3%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.7%
11.2%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
+4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
76
1º
9º
3º
32
7º
10º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
82 | 85 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
80 | 80 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
76 | 76 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
66 | 66 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
32 | 32 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 22 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ararat-Armenia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2023 |
LER
0 - 2
AVA
24%
27%
48%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
AVA
3 - 0
NOA
60%
23%
17%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2023 |
VAN
1 - 2
AVA
27%
28%
45%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
AVA
1 - 0
SHI
53%
25%
23%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
ALA
0 - 0
AVA
39%
29%
33%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
BKMA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2023 |
BKM
0 - 1
ARA
31%
27%
42%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
PYU
3 - 0
BKM
64%
22%
14%
|
59 | 73 | 14 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2023 |
BKM
0 - 2
BAN
23%
26%
51%
|
59 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2023 |
BKM
1 - 1
ALA
21%
25%
55%
|
59 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
LER
0 - 3
BKM
58%
24%
18%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | +2 |