Ararat-Armenia vs BKMA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.9%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.1%
13%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
+4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
76
1º
9º
3º
32
7º
10º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
82 | 85 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
80 | 80 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
76 | 76 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
66 | 66 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
32 | 32 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 22 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ararat-Armenia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
LER
0 - 1
AVA
36%
29%
35%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2022 |
AVA
3 - 0
NOA
54%
25%
21%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2022 |
VAN
0 - 4
AVA
26%
28%
46%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
AVA
3 - 0
SHI
50%
25%
25%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2022 |
ALA
1 - 1
AVA
41%
29%
30%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
BKMA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
BKM
2 - 1
ARA
27%
27%
47%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2022 |
PYU
3 - 1
BKM
60%
24%
16%
|
57 | 72 | 15 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
BKM
1 - 4
BAN
23%
26%
51%
|
58 | 72 | 14 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2022 |
BKM
2 - 4
ALA
21%
26%
53%
|
58 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2022 |
LER
1 - 1
BKM
52%
25%
23%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | 0 |