Ararat-Armenia vs Aris Thessaloniki analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.7%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
30.5%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ararat-Armenia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2023 |
EGN
4 - 4
AVA
33%
26%
42%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2023 |
AVA
1 - 1
EGN
57%
23%
20%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2023 |
AVA
6 - 0
WAR
56%
22%
23%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2023 |
AVA
3 - 2
FDC
84%
11%
5%
|
73 | 11 | 62 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2023 |
BKM
2 - 5
AVA
29%
27%
44%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Aris Thessaloniki
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jul. 2023 |
CSK
2 - 0
ARI
56%
22%
21%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2023 |
BOT
1 - 0
ARI
42%
26%
32%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2023 |
MAC
4 - 1
ARI
67%
19%
14%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2023 |
MAC
0 - 1
ARI
68%
18%
14%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
PAN
1 - 1
ARI
56%
25%
19%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |