Ararat-Armenia vs Alashkert analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.9%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.4%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
31.3%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
-16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
76
1º
9º
3º
66
1º
4º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
82 | 85 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
80 | 80 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
76 | 76 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
66 | 66 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
32 | 32 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 22 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ararat-Armenia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2022 |
AVA
2 - 1
ARA
57%
25%
19%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2022 |
PYU
2 - 1
AVA
40%
29%
32%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
AVA
0 - 1
BAN
44%
27%
29%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2022 |
ARA
0 - 4
AVA
36%
26%
38%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2022 |
AVA
1 - 0
BKM
67%
20%
13%
|
73 | 57 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Alashkert
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2022 |
ALA
2 - 1
LER
49%
26%
25%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2022 |
ARA
0 - 1
ALA
31%
26%
43%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2022 |
ALA
5 - 0
NOA
49%
27%
24%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2022 |
WAR
1 - 4
ALA
36%
23%
41%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
PYU
5 - 1
ALA
38%
28%
34%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | -1 |