FC Augsburg vs Nürnberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.8%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
7%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.2%
20.7%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Augsburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 1953 |
AUG
2 - 1
BYM
63%
18%
19%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1953 |
WAL
2 - 1
AUG
61%
19%
20%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1953 |
ULM
2 - 1
AUG
58%
20%
22%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 1953 |
AUG
2 - 2
SGF
63%
19%
18%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1953 |
AUG
1 - 1
VFR
68%
17%
16%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Nürnberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 1953 |
TUS
2 - 1
FCN
34%
22%
44%
|
62 | 49 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1953 |
MUN
5 - 2
FCN
52%
21%
27%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | -2 |
| 19 Apr. 1953 |
FCN
3 - 1
VFR
67%
18%
16%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 1953 |
FCN
1 - 1
STU
64%
19%
17%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1953 |
WAL
3 - 1
FCN
55%
21%
25%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | -1 |