FC Augsburg vs Bayern München analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
3%
Win probability
0.49
Expected goals
3-0
<0%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.3%
3-1
0.2%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.5%
1-0
1.2%
2-1
0.9%
3-2
0.2%
4-3
<0%
+1
2.4%
8.2%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
3.9%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
8.2%
88.8%
Win probability
3.21
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
12.8%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.9%
0-3
13.7%
1-4
5.3%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
19.9%
0-4
11%
1-5
3.4%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
14.9%
0-5
7.1%
1-6
1.8%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
9.1%
0-6
3.8%
1-7
0.8%
2-8
0.1%
-6
4.7%
0-7
1.7%
1-8
0.3%
2-9
0%
-7
2.1%
0-8
0.7%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.8%
0-9
0.2%
1-10
0%
-9
0.3%
0-10
0.1%
-10
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
9º
17º
15º
71
1º
5º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
71 | 71 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
71 | 71 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
66 | 66 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
62 | 62 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
59 | 59 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
50 | 50 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
50 | 50 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
49 | 49 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
46 | 46 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
43 | 43 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
42 | 42 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
36 | 36 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
36 | 36 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
35 | 35 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
34 | 34 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
33 | 33 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
31 | 31 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
29 | 29 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Augsburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2022 |
BRE
0 - 1
AUG
46%
26%
28%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
AUG
0 - 2
HER
42%
25%
33%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
HOF
1 - 0
AUG
66%
20%
15%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
AUG
1 - 2
M05
34%
25%
41%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
LEV
1 - 2
AUG
67%
19%
13%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Bayern München
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2022 |
BYM
2 - 0
FCB
58%
21%
22%
|
94 | 92 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
BYM
2 - 2
STU
85%
11%
4%
|
94 | 79 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2022 |
INT
0 - 2
BYM
25%
20%
55%
|
94 | 92 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
FCU
1 - 1
BYM
5%
10%
85%
|
94 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2022 |
VIK
0 - 5
BYM
1%
5%
94%
|
94 | 62 | 32 | 0 |