Atom Novovoronezh vs FK Orel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
85.8%
Win probability
3.34
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.6%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.1%
6-0
3.3%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.6%
5-0
5.8%
6-1
2.4%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.7%
4-0
8.8%
5-1
4.3%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.1%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.8%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.2%
9.3%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
4.2%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
9.3%
4.8%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.6%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
+101%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
2º
6º
4º
51
1º
5º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
54 | 64 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
49 | 59 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
51 | 57 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
41 | 50 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
29 | 39 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
30 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
27 | 30 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
14 | 16 |
9º
|
88% | |
|
11º
|
11 | 14 |
10º
|
88% | |
|
13º
|
10 | 14 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
10 | 13 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
13 | 13 |
13º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atom Novovoronezh
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
BGU
1 - 0
ATO
6%
12%
82%
|
49 | 9 | 40 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
ATO
0 - 0
LOK
38%
23%
39%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
MET
0 - 0
ATO
38%
24%
38%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2023 |
ATO
1 - 0
ROT
91%
6%
2%
|
48 | 18 | 30 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
MET
1 - 4
ATO
5%
11%
84%
|
47 | 8 | 39 | +1 |
Matches
FK Orel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2023 |
MET
0 - 3
ORE
7%
12%
81%
|
23 | 7 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
ORE
4 - 0
FKS
90%
8%
3%
|
22 | 9 | 13 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
ORE
9 - 1
YEL
76%
14%
10%
|
22 | 16 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
FKK
0 - 8
ORE
6%
12%
83%
|
21 | 7 | 14 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
ORE
6 - 0
DIN
75%
14%
11%
|
21 | 14 | 7 | 0 |