Atlas FC vs Toluca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.3%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.2%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.4%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
45.3%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.5%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlas FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
PUM
3 - 1
ATS
49%
25%
26%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2018 |
ATS
0 - 1
VER
53%
25%
22%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2018 |
ATS
1 - 2
LEO
34%
28%
38%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2017 |
MON
4 - 1
ATS
71%
18%
11%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2017 |
ATS
1 - 2
MON
29%
26%
46%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
LEO
3 - 1
TOL
49%
24%
28%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2018 |
TOL
2 - 2
ZAC
70%
18%
11%
|
84 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2018 |
TOL
1 - 1
CHI
63%
22%
16%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 2017 |
AME
4 - 0
TOL
42%
27%
32%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
MOR
2 - 1
TOL
42%
26%
33%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |