Atlas FC vs Toluca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.6%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.9%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.7%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.2%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
40.8%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlas FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
QRO
1 - 0
ATS
42%
27%
30%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
ATS
0 - 0
PUE
49%
26%
26%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
CAZ
1 - 3
ATS
62%
23%
15%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
ATS
1 - 1
CHI
49%
27%
24%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
VER
0 - 1
ATS
38%
28%
34%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2014 |
CAZ
0 - 0
TOL
46%
26%
28%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
TOL
2 - 1
LEO
54%
24%
23%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2014 |
TOL
2 - 0
LDA
64%
21%
15%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
TIJ
3 - 1
TOL
38%
27%
35%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2014 |
LDA
0 - 1
TOL
33%
27%
40%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |