Atlas FC vs Toluca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.5%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.8%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.6%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.1%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
40.8%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlas FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
QRO
2 - 1
ATS
48%
25%
27%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
ATS
0 - 2
CAZ
32%
27%
41%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
PUE
0 - 0
ATS
52%
24%
24%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
SAN
3 - 0
ATS
64%
20%
16%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
ATS
1 - 1
CHI
36%
28%
36%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
TOL
2 - 1
TIG
45%
27%
28%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
AME
1 - 1
TOL
50%
25%
26%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
TOL
3 - 1
EST
54%
24%
22%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
SNL
5 - 1
TOL
39%
28%
34%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
TOL
0 - 1
QRO
65%
21%
14%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |