Atlas FC vs Toluca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.9%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
32.5%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlas FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2006 |
JAG
4 - 0
ATS
49%
24%
28%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2006 |
ATS
3 - 1
VER
56%
24%
21%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2006 |
ATL
0 - 2
ATS
47%
25%
29%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2006 |
TIG
1 - 1
ATS
53%
23%
24%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2006 |
ATS
0 - 1
SNL
54%
25%
21%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2006 |
TOL
1 - 0
PAC
53%
24%
23%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2006 |
TOL
7 - 0
TIG
54%
24%
22%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2006 |
SNL
1 - 0
TOL
40%
27%
33%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2006 |
TOL
2 - 1
MOR
57%
23%
20%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2006 |
AME
1 - 1
TOL
51%
25%
25%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |