Atlas FC vs Toluca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.9%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.3%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
37.1%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlas FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2006 |
EST
0 - 4
ATS
52%
23%
25%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2006 |
AME
2 - 1
ATS
59%
21%
20%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2006 |
ATS
1 - 1
MOR
45%
25%
30%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2006 |
PAC
3 - 0
ATS
49%
25%
27%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2006 |
ATS
1 - 0
MON
37%
25%
38%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2006 |
TOL
2 - 3
MOR
56%
23%
21%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2006 |
OLI
0 - 2
TOL
36%
26%
38%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2006 |
PAC
1 - 0
TOL
41%
27%
32%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2006 |
TOL
0 - 1
MON
51%
24%
26%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2006 |
CAZ
2 - 1
TOL
46%
25%
29%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |