Atlas FC vs CA Morelia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.7%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.2%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
37.7%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlas FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2017 |
PUE
1 - 0
ATS
57%
23%
20%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
VER
1 - 0
ATS
49%
26%
25%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
ATS
2 - 0
TIG
28%
29%
44%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | +1 |
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
TOL
4 - 1
ATS
71%
19%
10%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
JAG
1 - 0
ATS
44%
27%
30%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
CA Morelia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
MOR
1 - 1
SAN
48%
24%
28%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2017 |
LEO
3 - 0
MOR
58%
22%
20%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
QRO
0 - 0
MOR
49%
25%
26%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
MOR
2 - 0
TIJ
47%
25%
28%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
MOR
1 - 2
MON
40%
25%
35%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |