Atlas FC vs CA Morelia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.3%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
36.7%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlas FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
PUM
1 - 4
ATS
58%
24%
18%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
ATS
2 - 2
TIJ
55%
25%
20%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
JAG
1 - 1
ATS
54%
23%
22%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
ATS
2 - 3
ATL
38%
28%
35%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
PAC
4 - 2
ATS
58%
23%
19%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
CA Morelia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2011 |
MOR
2 - 1
LDA
64%
20%
16%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
MOR
2 - 0
TIG
49%
25%
26%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2011 |
AME
1 - 1
MOR
49%
25%
26%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
MOR
0 - 2
EST
57%
22%
20%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2011 |
GAL
2 - 1
MOR
46%
26%
28%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |