Atlas FC vs CA Morelia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.8%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
8%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
29.7%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlas FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2009 |
AME
2 - 1
ATS
47%
24%
29%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2009 |
ATS
2 - 1
SAN
38%
26%
37%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2009 |
MON
3 - 0
ATS
51%
23%
26%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2009 |
ATS
1 - 0
PUM
46%
27%
27%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
ATS
0 - 5
PAC
39%
26%
35%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
CA Morelia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2009 |
MOR
5 - 0
IND
52%
24%
24%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2009 |
MOR
2 - 1
SNL
54%
24%
22%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2009 |
AME
1 - 2
MOR
50%
25%
26%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2009 |
MOR
1 - 1
SAN
41%
26%
33%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
TIG
1 - 1
MOR
39%
28%
34%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | +1 |