Atlas FC vs CA Morelia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
27.7%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlas FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2007 |
AME
0 - 1
ATS
59%
21%
20%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2007 |
ATS
4 - 1
EST
53%
25%
23%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2007 |
PUM
0 - 0
ATS
47%
25%
29%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2006 |
AME
3 - 3
ATS
61%
22%
18%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2006 |
ATS
1 - 3
AME
43%
28%
30%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
CA Morelia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2007 |
MOR
0 - 0
TIG
54%
23%
23%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2007 |
SNL
1 - 2
MOR
40%
27%
33%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2007 |
MOR
3 - 1
ATL
54%
23%
23%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2006 |
AME
2 - 1
MOR
57%
23%
20%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2006 |
NEC
1 - 3
MOR
41%
27%
31%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | +1 |