Atlas FC vs Cruz Azul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
33.4%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlas FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2007 |
PAC
4 - 2
ATS
51%
25%
24%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2007 |
ATS
3 - 3
SAN
51%
25%
24%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2007 |
ATS
0 - 1
JAG
52%
25%
23%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2007 |
VER
0 - 1
ATS
38%
25%
37%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2007 |
ATS
1 - 1
ATL
50%
25%
25%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Cruz Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2007 |
CAZ
3 - 0
TIG
57%
23%
20%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2007 |
SNL
2 - 0
CAZ
35%
26%
39%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2007 |
CAZ
3 - 2
MOR
57%
23%
20%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2007 |
AME
0 - 0
CAZ
53%
24%
24%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2007 |
CAZ
1 - 0
EST
65%
20%
15%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | +1 |