Assen vs FVC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
7.7%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
0.8%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.7%
1-0
1.9%
2-1
2.4%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
5.5%
12.6%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
12.6%
79.7%
Win probability
2.93
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.3%
0-2
10%
1-3
8.1%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
21%
0-3
9.7%
1-4
5.9%
2-5
1.4%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
17.3%
0-4
7.1%
1-5
3.5%
2-6
0.7%
3-7
0.1%
-4
11.4%
0-5
4.2%
1-6
1.7%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
6.2%
0-6
2%
1-7
0.7%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.8%
0-7
0.8%
1-8
0.3%
2-9
0%
-7
1.1%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0.1%
2-10
0%
-8
0.4%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Assen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
BER
7 - 0
FCA
88%
8%
4%
|
12 | 22 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
FCA
0 - 3
HOO
6%
11%
83%
|
13 | 29 | 16 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2018 |
FCA
0 - 3
VVN
24%
20%
56%
|
13 | 18 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
NIE
5 - 2
FCA
81%
12%
7%
|
14 | 20 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
FCA
1 - 3
ROL
45%
21%
34%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
FVC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
FVC
3 - 1
VVE
29%
21%
50%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
ROL
0 - 1
FVC
35%
21%
44%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2018 |
BER
1 - 0
FVC
54%
21%
25%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
FVC
1 - 3
SVB
40%
22%
38%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
ALC
6 - 0
FVC
71%
17%
12%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | 0 |