Aruküla vs Flora IV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.1%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
6%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.1%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.9%
30.9%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aruküla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2023 |
JKL
5 - 4
ARU
75%
14%
12%
|
10 | 16 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2020 |
ARU
2 - 3
TAR
11%
15%
74%
|
11 | 35 | 24 | -1 |
| 10 Jul. 2020 |
ARU
0 - 8
JKR
8%
13%
80%
|
11 | 37 | 26 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2020 |
ARU
7 - 2
RAS
39%
22%
39%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Flora IV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
PIR
5 - 0
FTI
83%
11%
6%
|
9 | 18 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2022 |
FTI
1 - 3
TAU
14%
17%
70%
|
9 | 16 | 7 | 0 |