Arlanda vs Skiljebo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.3%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.6%
20.1%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
5%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
64
1º
3º
1º
28
6º
13º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
64 | 64 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
53 | 53 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
43 | 43 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 41 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 38 |
5º
|
60% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 37 |
6º
|
60% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 33 |
8º
|
37% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
37% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
28 | 28 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
26 | 26 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
26 | 26 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 17 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arlanda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
FRA
1 - 3
FCA
25%
21%
55%
|
39 | 28 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
ASS
5 - 1
FCA
68%
18%
14%
|
39 | 54 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
KVA
0 - 4
FCA
11%
16%
73%
|
39 | 17 | 22 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
FCA
0 - 0
VIK
62%
18%
19%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
FCA
2 - 1
FCJ
33%
24%
43%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Skiljebo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
SKI
0 - 0
FOF
38%
21%
41%
|
32 | 40 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
KAR
4 - 0
SKI
82%
12%
6%
|
32 | 53 | 21 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
SKI
3 - 3
FRA
66%
17%
18%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
OST
2 - 1
SKI
62%
20%
19%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
SKI
1 - 2
SAN
37%
21%
42%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | -1 |