Arlanda vs Skiljebo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.2%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.5%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.4%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.4%
53.3%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
9%
2-3
4.9%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
2.7%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
15.9%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
9.4%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
43
1º
8º
4º
33
2º
10º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
56 | 59 |
1º
|
83% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 58 |
2º
|
83% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 50 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
43 | 46 |
4º
|
70% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
70% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 38 |
7º
|
92% | |
|
|
11º
|
33 | 36 |
8º
|
40% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
43.5% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
54% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
11º
|
42% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 27 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
10 | 10 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
5 | 5 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arlanda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
KAL
2 - 0
FCA
79%
14%
8%
|
29 | 48 | 19 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2023 |
FCA
5 - 0
KVA
71%
16%
13%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
FCA
5 - 3
IFK
75%
15%
11%
|
28 | 19 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
GUT
4 - 0
FCA
69%
16%
15%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
FCA
1 - 0
SAN
12%
16%
73%
|
25 | 44 | 19 | +3 |
Matches
Skiljebo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
SKI
12 - 0
KVA
87%
9%
4%
|
37 | 21 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
HUD
3 - 1
SKI
58%
21%
21%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
SKI
3 - 1
KUN
72%
16%
12%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
SKI
4 - 1
VIK
82%
11%
7%
|
37 | 23 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
KAL
4 - 2
SKI
65%
20%
16%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | -1 |