Arlanda vs Lidingö analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
5.3%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.6%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1%
1-0
1.7%
2-1
1.7%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
4%
10.9%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.9%
83.8%
Win probability
2.97
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
11.9%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.5%
0-3
11.8%
1-4
5.6%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
18.6%
0-4
8.7%
1-5
3.3%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0%
-4
12.7%
0-5
5.2%
1-6
1.7%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
7.1%
0-6
2.6%
1-7
0.7%
2-8
0.1%
-6
3.4%
0-7
1.1%
1-8
0.3%
2-9
0%
-7
1.4%
0-8
0.4%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.5%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.2%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arlanda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2021 |
FCA
3 - 5
SAN
4%
12%
85%
|
12 | 57 | 45 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
GUT
3 - 2
FCA
90%
7%
3%
|
12 | 23 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
OST
3 - 0
FCA
88%
9%
4%
|
13 | 32 | 19 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
FCA
0 - 4
STO
5%
11%
84%
|
14 | 48 | 34 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
KUN
3 - 0
FCA
86%
10%
5%
|
14 | 27 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Lidingö
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
LID
2 - 1
OST
73%
15%
12%
|
41 | 32 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2021 |
IFS
1 - 2
LID
43%
24%
33%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
STO
4 - 0
LID
61%
21%
18%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | -2 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
LID
3 - 2
KUN
80%
12%
8%
|
42 | 28 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2021 |
KAL
4 - 3
LID
62%
20%
18%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | -1 |