Arlanda vs Karlberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
7.9%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.5%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
2.2%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
6%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.9%
76.2%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
14.5%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.5%
0-3
11.2%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
15.7%
0-4
6.5%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
8.6%
0-5
3%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.8%
0-6
1.2%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arlanda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2021 |
FCA
1 - 1
ENK
10%
16%
74%
|
14 | 29 | 15 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
KAL
7 - 0
FCA
91%
7%
2%
|
14 | 47 | 33 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2021 |
SAN
4 - 2
FCA
92%
7%
1%
|
14 | 59 | 45 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2021 |
FCJ
5 - 1
FCA
88%
9%
3%
|
15 | 36 | 21 | -1 |
| 03 Jul. 2021 |
FCA
1 - 2
GUT
9%
13%
78%
|
16 | 27 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Karlberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2021 |
LID
2 - 3
KAL
39%
26%
35%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
KAL
7 - 0
FCA
91%
7%
2%
|
47 | 14 | 33 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2021 |
SAN
0 - 5
KAL
76%
17%
8%
|
44 | 61 | 17 | +3 |
| 23 Jun. 2021 |
OST
2 - 3
KAL
26%
23%
51%
|
44 | 30 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2021 |
STO
2 - 1
KAL
40%
27%
34%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | -1 |