Arlanda vs Uppsala analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.5%
Win probability
2.73
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.8%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.5%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.7%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.6%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.8%
10.7%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
43
1º
8º
4º
10
11º
14º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
56 | 59 |
1º
|
83% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 58 |
2º
|
83% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 50 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
43 | 46 |
4º
|
70% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
70% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 38 |
7º
|
92% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 36 |
8º
|
40% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
43.5% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
54% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
11º
|
42% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 27 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
10 | 10 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
5 | 5 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arlanda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
GUT
4 - 0
FCA
69%
16%
15%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
FCA
1 - 0
SAN
12%
16%
73%
|
25 | 44 | 19 | +3 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
OST
2 - 2
FCA
79%
13%
8%
|
25 | 41 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
ENS
3 - 1
FCA
83%
11%
6%
|
25 | 43 | 18 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
FCA
0 - 1
FRA
50%
21%
29%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Uppsala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
IFK
1 - 1
KVA
38%
22%
39%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
HUD
1 - 3
IFK
91%
6%
3%
|
18 | 44 | 26 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
IFK
0 - 2
KUN
16%
18%
66%
|
18 | 29 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
IFK
1 - 6
KAL
9%
15%
76%
|
19 | 44 | 25 | -1 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
SKI
6 - 2
IFK
87%
9%
4%
|
19 | 38 | 19 | 0 |