Arlanda vs Hammarby TFF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.8%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.3%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
37.8%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+24%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
9º
14º
14º
32
1º
4º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
3º
|
28 | 58 |
1º
|
30.5% | |
|
|
1º
|
32 | 57 |
2º
|
26.5% | |
|
2º
|
29 | 54 |
3º
|
20.5% | |
|
5º
|
26 | 54 |
4º
|
23% | |
|
4º
|
27 | 52 |
5º
|
19.5% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 48 |
6º
|
22% | |
|
7º
|
22 | 43 |
7º
|
23% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 39 |
8º
|
20.5% | |
|
8º
|
20 | 35 |
9º
|
16.5% | |
|
15º
|
14 | 35 |
10º
|
13.5% | |
|
11º
|
17 | 35 |
11º
|
12% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 35 |
12º
|
13% | |
|
14º
|
15 | 33 |
13º
|
13.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
17 | 32 |
14º
|
10.5% | |
|
13º
|
17 | 32 |
15º
|
25.5% | |
|
16º
|
11 | 23 |
16º
|
62% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 31% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 26.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
47.5% | 42.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
18.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
34% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arlanda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2025 |
GEF
1 - 1
FCA
53%
23%
24%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2025 |
KAR
3 - 0
FCA
56%
22%
22%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 May. 2025 |
FCA
5 - 3
IFS
40%
23%
37%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2025 |
FCA
2 - 2
SOL
43%
23%
34%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2025 |
FCA
2 - 1
ENK
55%
23%
22%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Hammarby TFF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2025 |
HTF
3 - 2
VAS
42%
26%
33%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2025 |
HTF
3 - 0
HAN
49%
25%
27%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 May. 2025 |
KAL
1 - 1
HTF
38%
25%
36%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2025 |
HTF
3 - 1
ORE
59%
22%
19%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2025 |
THO
0 - 1
HTF
30%
25%
45%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | 0 |