Arlanda vs Gute analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.9%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.8%
18.3%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-44%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
64
1º
3º
1º
41
3º
12º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
64 | 64 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
53 | 53 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
43 | 43 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
41 | 41 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 38 |
5º
|
60% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 37 |
6º
|
60% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 33 |
8º
|
37% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
37% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
28 | 28 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
26 | 26 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
26 | 26 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 17 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arlanda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
FCA
3 - 0
KUN
70%
17%
13%
|
52 | 36 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2024 |
FOF
0 - 4
FCA
30%
23%
47%
|
51 | 41 | 10 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
FCA
2 - 0
OST
68%
18%
14%
|
51 | 38 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
FCJ
0 - 1
FCA
29%
23%
48%
|
51 | 40 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
FCA
2 - 0
SAN
69%
17%
13%
|
51 | 35 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Gute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
GUT
2 - 2
FOF
53%
22%
25%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
OST
1 - 0
GUT
26%
24%
50%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
GUT
0 - 1
FCJ
63%
20%
17%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
SAN
4 - 2
GUT
19%
23%
58%
|
47 | 35 | 12 | -2 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
GUT
3 - 1
DAL
31%
24%
45%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | +1 |