Arlanda vs Franke analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.7%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.7%
15.6%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
64
1º
3º
1º
36
3º
13º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
64 | 64 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
53 | 53 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
43 | 43 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 41 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 38 |
5º
|
60% | |
|
|
6º
|
36 | 37 |
6º
|
60% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 33 |
8º
|
37% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
37% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
28 | 28 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
26 | 26 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
26 | 26 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 17 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arlanda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jun. 2024 |
GUT
2 - 0
FCA
29%
24%
47%
|
49 | 39 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
FCA
4 - 1
ENK
58%
22%
21%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Jun. 2024 |
KUN
2 - 3
FCA
23%
24%
53%
|
48 | 34 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
FCA
4 - 4
FOF
62%
20%
18%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
OST
0 - 2
FCA
37%
25%
38%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Franke
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jun. 2024 |
FRA
1 - 1
OST
41%
22%
37%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
FOF
0 - 4
FRA
65%
18%
18%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | +2 |
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
FCJ
1 - 2
FRA
69%
18%
13%
|
34 | 47 | 13 | +2 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
FRA
3 - 1
SAN
40%
21%
39%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 May. 2024 |
FRA
0 - 2
TAB
17%
19%
64%
|
34 | 49 | 15 | -1 |