Arlanda vs FC Järfälla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.2%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.3%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.9%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
37.2%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+21%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
64
1º
3º
1º
38
1º
10º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
64 | 64 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
53 | 53 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
43 | 43 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 41 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
38 | 38 |
5º
|
60% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 37 |
6º
|
60% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 33 |
8º
|
37% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
37% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
28 | 28 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
26 | 26 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
26 | 26 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 17 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arlanda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2024 |
SAN
2 - 4
FCA
37%
25%
38%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
FCA
5 - 2
DAL
26%
24%
50%
|
41 | 57 | 16 | +3 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
FBS
1 - 3
FCA
13%
17%
70%
|
41 | 20 | 21 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
FCA
3 - 3
HUD
57%
20%
23%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
VIK
1 - 1
FCA
36%
22%
43%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
FC Järfälla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2024 |
FCJ
3 - 1
FOF
65%
19%
16%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
OST
0 - 2
FCJ
33%
25%
42%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
KUN
0 - 1
FCJ
25%
24%
50%
|
48 | 36 | 12 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
FCJ
4 - 1
SAN
61%
20%
19%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
DAL
1 - 3
FCJ
64%
20%
15%
|
46 | 59 | 13 | +2 |