Arlanda vs FC Järfälla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.6%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.4%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.1%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
42.9%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
43
1º
8º
4º
50
1º
12º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
56 | 59 |
1º
|
83% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 58 |
2º
|
83% | |
|
|
3º
|
50 | 50 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
43 | 46 |
4º
|
70% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
70% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 38 |
7º
|
92% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 36 |
8º
|
40% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
43.5% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
54% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
11º
|
42% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 27 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
10 | 10 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
5 | 5 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arlanda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
KUN
1 - 3
FCA
34%
22%
44%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
FCA
6 - 2
HUD
28%
21%
50%
|
32 | 41 | 9 | +4 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
FCA
4 - 1
SKI
26%
20%
53%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | +3 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
KAL
2 - 0
FCA
79%
14%
8%
|
29 | 48 | 19 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2023 |
FCA
5 - 0
KVA
71%
16%
13%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
FC Järfälla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
SKI
0 - 3
FCJ
35%
24%
41%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
FCJ
1 - 5
KUN
80%
12%
8%
|
44 | 28 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
FCJ
1 - 1
KAL
41%
24%
35%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
IFK
1 - 2
FCJ
10%
15%
75%
|
44 | 19 | 25 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
FCJ
1 - 2
GUT
62%
20%
18%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | 0 |