Ario vs Mes Shahr Babak analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.8%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.8%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.8%
1-0
12%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.3%
29.5%
Draw
0-0
11.7%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.5%
37.7%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+35%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2024 |
FAJ
1 - 0
FCA
55%
27%
18%
|
48 | 66 | 18 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2024 |
FCA
2 - 0
PAL
81%
13%
6%
|
48 | 9 | 39 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2024 |
FCA
0 - 0
EMO
34%
27%
39%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2024 |
AKF
4 - 1
FCA
66%
21%
12%
|
48 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2024 |
FCA
2 - 0
SBA
32%
26%
42%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Mes Shahr Babak
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2024 |
MSB
2 - 0
DAM
54%
26%
20%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2024 |
NAF
0 - 1
MSB
62%
23%
15%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Jun. 2024 |
MSB
2 - 1
SBA
46%
27%
27%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2024 |
EMO
1 - 0
MSB
39%
30%
32%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2024 |
MSB
4 - 1
AST
57%
26%
17%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | +1 |