Ario vs Mes Shahr Babak analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.5%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.7%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19%
29.4%
Draw
0-0
11.9%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.4%
41%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
14%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+51%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2024 |
FCA
2 - 3
SMK
13%
21%
66%
|
37 | 60 | 23 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2023 |
EMO
1 - 0
FCA
68%
20%
12%
|
37 | 54 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2023 |
FCA
0 - 2
AKF
22%
26%
52%
|
38 | 65 | 27 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 2023 |
KFM
0 - 2
FCA
62%
21%
16%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | +2 |
| 29 Nov. 2023 |
FCA
1 - 0
AST
21%
25%
55%
|
35 | 53 | 18 | +1 |
Matches
Mes Shahr Babak
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2023 |
KFM
1 - 0
MSB
31%
30%
39%
|
58 | 44 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2023 |
MSB
2 - 0
EMO
45%
27%
28%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2023 |
AST
0 - 0
MSB
33%
32%
35%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2023 |
MSB
0 - 0
FAJ
40%
30%
30%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2023 |
SMK
0 - 0
MSB
56%
26%
18%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | +1 |