Ario vs Mes Kerman analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.3%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.4%
1-0
9%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.3%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
11%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.6%
50.1%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
15.2%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
25.7%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
15.2%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+51%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
SAI
3 - 0
FCA
71%
20%
10%
|
30 | 61 | 31 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
FCA
0 - 0
PAR
17%
24%
59%
|
30 | 53 | 23 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
NAF
0 - 0
FCA
70%
19%
10%
|
29 | 53 | 24 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2023 |
FCA
1 - 2
CHA
14%
22%
64%
|
29 | 57 | 28 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2023 |
SHA
1 - 1
FCA
77%
17%
7%
|
28 | 51 | 23 | +1 |
Matches
Mes Kerman
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
SMK
0 - 2
AKF
41%
29%
30%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
DBF
1 - 1
SMK
38%
31%
31%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2023 |
SMK
0 - 1
MOG
43%
28%
29%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2023 |
SMK
0 - 0
SAI
46%
28%
26%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
KHO
2 - 1
SMK
26%
31%
43%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | -1 |