Ario vs Kheybar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.8%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.4%
1-0
8%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.7%
26%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26%
52.2%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
13.9%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.3%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+51%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2023 |
KFM
0 - 2
FCA
62%
21%
16%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2023 |
FCA
1 - 0
AST
21%
25%
55%
|
35 | 53 | 18 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 2023 |
DBF
1 - 2
FCA
75%
16%
9%
|
33 | 54 | 21 | +2 |
| 14 Nov. 2023 |
FCA
0 - 0
KHO
18%
23%
59%
|
31 | 51 | 20 | +2 |
| 08 Nov. 2023 |
DAM
1 - 0
FCA
71%
19%
11%
|
31 | 51 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Kheybar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2023 |
AKF
2 - 0
EMO
61%
24%
16%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2023 |
AKF
3 - 0
KFM
66%
21%
13%
|
64 | 46 | 18 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2023 |
AST
1 - 0
AKF
16%
28%
56%
|
65 | 52 | 13 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2023 |
AKF
2 - 1
FAJ
56%
26%
18%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2023 |
DBF
1 - 1
AKF
34%
29%
37%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | 0 |