FC Alverca II vs Uniao Tomar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.2%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.5%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
13.3%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
56.6%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
16.9%
0-3
5%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
10.2%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
5%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-22%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
1º
10º
4º
17
7º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
51 | 51 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 50 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
39 | 39 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 38 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 32 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 25 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
21 | 21 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
17 | 17 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Alverca II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
SER
0 - 0
FCA
66%
19%
15%
|
28 | 43 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2023 |
MOR
0 - 0
FCA
68%
18%
15%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
FCA
3 - 1
USA
14%
22%
63%
|
20 | 49 | 29 | +8 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
MAR
2 - 1
FCA
81%
12%
7%
|
20 | 41 | 21 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
FCA
7 - 0
PEN
12%
18%
70%
|
14 | 32 | 18 | +6 |
Matches
Uniao Tomar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
UFT
0 - 1
MOR
58%
21%
21%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
UFT
1 - 0
MAR
60%
22%
18%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
USA
3 - 0
UFT
56%
22%
22%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | -2 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
UFT
1 - 3
LUS
67%
19%
14%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
PEN
2 - 2
UFT
14%
18%
68%
|
44 | 28 | 16 | 0 |