FC Alverca II vs União Santarém analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.4%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.2%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.4%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.3%
63.3%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
14.3%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.1%
0-2
13%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.7%
0-3
7.8%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
10.8%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
1º
10º
4º
55
1º
13º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
55 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
51 | 51 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 50 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
39 | 39 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 38 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 32 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 25 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
21 | 21 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 17 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Alverca II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
MAR
2 - 1
FCA
81%
12%
7%
|
20 | 41 | 21 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
FCA
7 - 0
PEN
12%
18%
70%
|
14 | 32 | 18 | +6 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
BEN
0 - 0
FCA
85%
11%
5%
|
13 | 42 | 29 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
FCA
3 - 1
GOU
9%
16%
75%
|
10 | 25 | 15 | +3 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
VIT
0 - 0
FCA
84%
12%
5%
|
10 | 34 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
União Santarém
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
USA
3 - 0
UFT
56%
22%
22%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
USA
3 - 0
MOR
60%
22%
19%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
SER
0 - 0
USA
28%
28%
45%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
DUM
4 - 3
USA
20%
21%
59%
|
48 | 35 | 13 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
MAR
2 - 4
USA
33%
27%
40%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | 0 |