FC Alverca II vs Gouveia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
9.2%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2%
1-0
3%
2-1
2.8%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.7%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.6%
75.2%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
12.2%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.7%
0-3
10.1%
1-4
4.7%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15.7%
0-4
6.2%
1-5
2.3%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
8.9%
0-5
3.1%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4.2%
0-6
1.3%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.6%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-22%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
1º
10º
4º
21
7º
14º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
51 | 51 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 50 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
39 | 39 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 38 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 32 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 25 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
21 | 21 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 17 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Alverca II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
VIT
0 - 0
FCA
84%
12%
5%
|
10 | 34 | 24 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
FCA
0 - 0
COI
11%
19%
70%
|
9 | 68 | 59 | +1 |
Matches
Gouveia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
GOU
1 - 1
MOR
13%
18%
69%
|
24 | 40 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
USA
2 - 2
GOU
87%
10%
3%
|
23 | 48 | 25 | +1 |
| 01 Aug. 2023 |
GOU
1 - 4
TON
7%
14%
80%
|
23 | 62 | 39 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
GOU
1 - 2
FAV
38%
23%
39%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2022 |
COI
2 - 1
GOU
80%
15%
6%
|
24 | 68 | 44 | 0 |