Alsterbruder vs Wandsbeker Concordia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
9.1%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.5%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
3.2%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.1%
48.8%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
8%
2-3
5.3%
3-4
1.8%
4-5
0.4%
5-6
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
6%
2-4
3%
3-5
0.8%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
14.4%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
8.4%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
4%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
8º
17º
17º
29
12º
18º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
82 | 82 |
1º
|
0% | |
|
1º
|
82 | 82 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
70 | 70 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
70 | 70 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
63 | 63 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
61 | 61 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
51 | 51 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
50 | 50 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
46 | 46 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
44 | 44 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
41 | 41 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
40 | 40 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
36 | 36 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
35 | 35 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
35 | 35 |
15º
|
0% | |
|
|
16º
|
29 | 29 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
|
17º
|
25 | 25 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
12 | 12 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alsterbruder
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
PAL
2 - 0
ATB
80%
12%
8%
|
23 | 43 | 20 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
ATB
1 - 4
SUD
30%
20%
51%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
SAS
1 - 1
ATB
85%
9%
6%
|
24 | 45 | 21 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
ATB
1 - 4
EIM
23%
22%
55%
|
26 | 47 | 21 | -2 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
BUC
1 - 2
ATB
74%
14%
12%
|
25 | 38 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Wandsbeker Concordia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2024 |
WAN
4 - 1
THA
36%
22%
43%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
NIE
7 - 1
WAN
75%
15%
10%
|
28 | 43 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2024 |
WAN
0 - 0
HEB
26%
21%
53%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
ALT
4 - 1
WAN
84%
11%
5%
|
29 | 55 | 26 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2024 |
WAN
2 - 1
WIL
38%
21%
41%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | +2 |