Alsterbruder vs Niendorfer TSV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.1%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
3.6%
1-0
2.6%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
9%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16.3%
69.7%
Win probability
2.66
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
9%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
8%
2-4
3%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
19.6%
0-3
7%
1-4
5.3%
2-5
1.6%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
14.2%
0-4
4.7%
1-5
2.8%
2-6
0.7%
3-7
0.1%
-4
8.3%
0-5
2.5%
1-6
1.3%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
4%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
3-9
0%
-6
1.7%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+30%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
8º
17º
17º
61
3º
12º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
82 | 82 |
1º
|
0% | |
|
1º
|
82 | 82 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
70 | 70 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
70 | 70 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
63 | 63 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
61 | 61 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
51 | 51 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
50 | 50 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
46 | 46 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
44 | 44 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
41 | 41 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
40 | 40 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
36 | 36 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
35 | 35 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
35 | 35 |
15º
|
0% | |
|
16º
|
29 | 29 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
|
17º
|
25 | 25 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
12 | 12 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alsterbruder
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2024 |
ATB
2 - 2
HAL
16%
17%
67%
|
21 | 37 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
HEB
4 - 0
ATB
79%
12%
9%
|
21 | 37 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2024 |
ATB
1 - 2
ALT
18%
21%
61%
|
21 | 53 | 32 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
WIL
4 - 0
ATB
73%
15%
12%
|
21 | 33 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
ATB
0 - 6
ETH
18%
19%
63%
|
23 | 44 | 21 | -2 |
Matches
Niendorfer TSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
NIE
4 - 1
THA
76%
15%
9%
|
46 | 29 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2024 |
NIE
5 - 2
VHG
53%
22%
25%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
HEB
0 - 1
NIE
28%
23%
49%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
NIE
0 - 1
ALT
28%
24%
48%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
WIL
2 - 2
NIE
22%
19%
59%
|
45 | 31 | 14 | 0 |