Alliance Aischdall vs Sporting Mertzig analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
2.5%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.5%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
13%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.5%
57.4%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
9%
2-3
5%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
7%
2-4
2.9%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
-2
16.9%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
1.4%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
10.6%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
5.3%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0.1%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+29%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
11º
15º
13º
34
1º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
84 | 84 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
64 | 64 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
58 | 58 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
57 | 57 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
57 | 57 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
48 | 48 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
46 | 46 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 40 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
30 | 30 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
28 | 28 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
25 | 25 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
22 | 22 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
12 | 12 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alliance Aischdall
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
AVE
4 - 1
FCA
85%
10%
5%
|
22 | 46 | 24 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
FCA
1 - 5
HOS
48%
21%
30%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | -2 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
COL
1 - 1
FCA
29%
22%
49%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
FCA
3 - 2
PRE
70%
16%
15%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
LOR
5 - 0
FCA
88%
10%
3%
|
24 | 56 | 32 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting Mertzig
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
MER
2 - 2
MLI
74%
15%
11%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
BAS
4 - 1
MER
57%
20%
23%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2023 |
MER
1 - 2
HOS
75%
15%
11%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
MER
3 - 1
BER
50%
21%
29%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
FFN
3 - 0
MER
64%
17%
18%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | -2 |