Alliance Aischdall vs Lorentzweiler analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
7.2%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.4%
1-0
2.7%
2-1
2.2%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
5.5%
14.2%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
14.2%
78.5%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
13.5%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
22.3%
0-3
11.4%
1-4
4.6%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
16.8%
0-4
7.2%
1-5
2.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
9.9%
0-5
3.7%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4.8%
0-6
1.5%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0%
-6
1.9%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0.1%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-34%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
11º
15º
13º
84
1º
6º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
84 | 84 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
64 | 64 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
58 | 58 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
57 | 57 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
57 | 57 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
48 | 48 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
46 | 46 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 40 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
30 | 30 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
28 | 28 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
25 | 25 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
22 | 22 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
12 | 12 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alliance Aischdall
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
DCE
4 - 2
FCA
35%
23%
42%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
YBD
4 - 1
FCA
76%
14%
10%
|
30 | 42 | 12 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
FCA
1 - 1
ERP
42%
21%
37%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
FEU
3 - 1
FCA
72%
16%
12%
|
30 | 40 | 10 | -1 |
| 22 May. 2022 |
KEH
4 - 1
FCA
77%
15%
8%
|
31 | 46 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Lorentzweiler
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
KSI
1 - 1
LOR
3%
7%
90%
|
54 | 12 | 42 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
LOR
5 - 0
MLI
81%
14%
6%
|
54 | 35 | 19 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
BAS
0 - 4
LOR
14%
19%
67%
|
53 | 40 | 13 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
LOR
2 - 1
BER
80%
14%
6%
|
53 | 34 | 19 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2022 |
DCE
1 - 7
LOR
6%
14%
79%
|
53 | 25 | 28 | 0 |