Alegrense vs Botafogo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
5.4%
Win probability
0.48
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.6%
3-1
0.2%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.9%
1-0
2.5%
2-1
1.5%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
4.3%
13.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
13.5%
81.1%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
-1
22.2%
0-2
15.9%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
23.3%
0-3
13.1%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
17.5%
0-4
8.1%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
10.3%
0-5
4%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4.9%
0-6
1.7%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
2%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2001 |
BOT
2 - 4
SAO
52%
23%
26%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2001 |
POR
2 - 1
BOT
50%
23%
27%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2001 |
JUV
1 - 3
BOT
41%
25%
34%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2001 |
BOT
2 - 4
COR
42%
25%
33%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2001 |
SAO
3 - 1
BOT
59%
21%
20%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |