Alberes Argelès vs Aigues Mortes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.2%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.3%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.5%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
36.4%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-34%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
4º
9º
8º
29
3º
13º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
57 | 57 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 55 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 51 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 44 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 39 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 37 |
6º
|
86.5% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 34 |
7º
|
44% | |
|
|
8º
|
33 | 33 |
8º
|
57.5% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 31 |
9º
|
82% | |
|
|
10º
|
29 | 29 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 29 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
28 | 28 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
20 | 20 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
16 | 16 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alberes Argelès
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 2022 |
FCA
0 - 4
BLA
65%
19%
17%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
OLY
2 - 1
FCA
60%
23%
18%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
FCA
3 - 0
SAM
44%
23%
33%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
BAL
2 - 2
FCA
29%
24%
46%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
FCA
3 - 0
NAR
60%
20%
19%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
Aigues Mortes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 2022 |
MUR
1 - 5
SAM
18%
21%
61%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
SAM
4 - 0
ROD
48%
22%
30%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | +2 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
FCA
3 - 0
SAM
44%
23%
33%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | -2 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
SAM
2 - 0
NIM
50%
22%
29%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2022 |
TOU
2 - 0
SAM
47%
23%
31%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | -1 |