Alberes Argelès vs Girondins Bordeaux II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.6%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
6%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.7%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
35.7%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
4º
12º
10º
29
5º
13º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
51 | 51 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 48 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 41 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 35 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 34 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 33 |
9º
|
78% | |
|
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
10º
|
78% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
29 | 29 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
19 | 19 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
10 | 10 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alberes Argelès
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
SEP
0 - 0
FCA
16%
19%
65%
|
33 | 16 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
FCA
0 - 0
COL
40%
24%
37%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
CAS
2 - 0
FCA
63%
19%
18%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
FCA
2 - 1
STA
25%
21%
54%
|
31 | 41 | 10 | +2 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
BLA
2 - 0
FCA
52%
23%
26%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Girondins Bordeaux II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
COL
2 - 2
GDB
50%
24%
26%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
GDB
3 - 0
STA
26%
23%
51%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | +2 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
SPS
0 - 3
GDB
17%
20%
64%
|
31 | 17 | 14 | +2 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
GDB
4 - 2
ONE
28%
23%
49%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | +2 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
BAY
2 - 1
GDB
61%
21%
18%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | -1 |