Alberes Argelès vs Castanet analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
6%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
31.4%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-28%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
4º
9º
8º
41
2º
11º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
57 | 57 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 55 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 51 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
41 | 44 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 39 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 37 |
6º
|
86.5% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 34 |
7º
|
44% | |
|
|
8º
|
33 | 33 |
8º
|
57.5% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 31 |
9º
|
82% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 29 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 29 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
28 | 28 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
20 | 20 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
16 | 16 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alberes Argelès
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2023 |
ROD
3 - 2
FCA
42%
22%
36%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
COL
2 - 1
FCA
38%
23%
39%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
FCA
1 - 1
TOU
33%
26%
41%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
BAL
2 - 1
FCA
16%
20%
63%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
FCA
1 - 1
USJ
71%
16%
13%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Castanet
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2023 |
CAS
0 - 1
TOU
32%
26%
42%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
BAL
2 - 1
CAS
23%
25%
52%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | -2 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
CAS
4 - 1
USJ
72%
16%
12%
|
39 | 28 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
FBP
1 - 3
CAS
20%
21%
59%
|
38 | 24 | 14 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
CAS
1 - 1
BEA
41%
23%
36%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | 0 |