Aegeri vs Mendrisio-Stabio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.3%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.8%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
52.5%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15.9%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aegeri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2019 |
WIL
2 - 2
FCA
62%
18%
21%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
FCA
0 - 4
NOV
44%
22%
35%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2019 |
BRU
0 - 4
FCA
36%
22%
42%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2019 |
FCA
2 - 1
SAR
59%
19%
21%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2019 |
LUZ
5 - 0
FCA
41%
22%
37%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Mendrisio-Stabio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2019 |
MEN
1 - 1
WIL
64%
19%
17%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2019 |
NOV
3 - 4
MEN
33%
24%
43%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
MEN
2 - 0
BRU
78%
14%
8%
|
30 | 19 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2019 |
SAR
1 - 0
MEN
19%
23%
58%
|
31 | 19 | 12 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2019 |
MEN
4 - 1
LUZ
67%
19%
14%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | 0 |